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  Title	Creative Media & Community Trust (CMCT) Stock in December 2025: Microcap REIT, Wild Volatility and Bearish Forecasts
  ID	29155577
  External ID	24e98e595d31675c0775098e933bc890
  Author	Shan Ahmed Khan
  Published Date	Dec. 9, 2025, 4:57 a.m.
  Summary	Creative Media & Community Trust (CMCT) Stock in December 2025: Microcap REIT, Wild Volatility and Bearish Forecasts - TechStock²
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  URL	https://ts2.tech/en/creative-media-community-trust-cmct-stock-in-december-2025-microcap-reit-wild-volatility-and-bearish-forecasts
  Sentiment	Negative: 0.85600    Neutral: 0.12031    Positive: 0.02370
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  Content ID	36749707
  Key	aa3def22-3a81-4c57-bb59-53cd9ed22a11
  Content	Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCT) has turned into one of the more chaotic tickers in the real-estate investment trust (REIT) space as of December 9, 2025. A tiny market cap, massive daily swings, heavy short interest and a high‑profile business pivot have put CMCT squarely on the radar of speculative traders — while most fundamental and quantitative analysts remain firmly skeptical. Below is a structured look at the latest CMCT stock price action, fundamentals, strategic moves and forecasts as of December 9, 2025. CMCT Stock Price Action in Early December 2025 CMCT has behaved less like a sleepy REIT and more like a meme‑adjacent microcap in recent sessions. Closing price & spike: On December 8, 2025, CMCT closed at $6.68 , up about 73% on the day, after trading between roughly $4.01 and $8.39 in a single session. [1] On December 8, 2025, CMCT closed at , up about on the day, after trading between roughly and in a single session. Very small market cap: Just days earlier, on December 5, Fintel estimated CMCT's market capitalization at around $3.05 million , with shares at $3.86 . [2] Just days earlier, on December 5, Fintel estimated CMCT's market capitalization at around , with shares at . Break below 200‑day moving average: On December 6, American Market News reported that CMCT's share price fell below its 200‑day moving average of about $7.06, trading as low as $3.73 and last seen again at $3.86 that day. [3] In other words: the stock is violently volatile around a tiny equity base. Fintel's data underline that point: 1‑year price change: ~ +1,238% , a figure heavily distorted by reverse stock splits and prior penny‑stock trading. [4] ~ , a figure heavily distorted by reverse stock splits and prior penny‑stock trading. Short interest: approx. 0.36 million shares sold short, or ~60.5% of the free float, with a borrow rate above 400% and fewer than half a day to cover. [5] For traders, that combination — micro float, high short interest and big news catalysts — is exactly the recipe for the kind of 50–70% daily moves CMCT has been posting. For long‑term investors, it's also a bright red risk flag. Q3 2025: Losses Continue, Leverage Stays High The latest full snapshot of CMCT's business comes from its third‑quarter 2025 results, released November 14. [6] Key numbers from the company's filings and summaries: Q3 2025 revenue: about $26.2 million , down from roughly $28.6 million in Q3 2024. [7] about , down from roughly in Q3 2024. Q3 net loss: about $12.6 million overall. [8] about overall. Net loss attributable to common shareholders: roughly $17.7 million , or about –$23.52 per diluted share , reflecting the tiny post‑split share count. [9] roughly , or about , reflecting the tiny post‑split share count. FFO (funds from operations): around –$11.1 million (core FFO about –$10.5 million ). [10] around (core FFO about ). Year‑to‑date (nine months) 2025: Revenue: about $88.2 million Net loss: about $28.0 million [11] Balance sheet (as of Sept. 30, 2025): Total assets: ~$871.8 million Net debt: ~$527.8 million Equity: ~$283 million Interest expense in Q3 alone: ~$10.3 million [12] Operationally, the story is mixed: The office portfolio was about 73.6% leased in Q3, and management highlighted newly executed leases totaling roughly 81,000 square feet as part of a broader leasing push. [13] was about in Q3, and management highlighted newly executed leases totaling roughly as part of a broader leasing push. The multifamily portfolio (apartment buildings) had significantly stronger occupancy in the mid‑90% range, reinforcing management's desire to shift capital away from offices and toward residential assets. [14] Put simply: CMCT owns a sizable real estate platform relative to its sliver of equity value, but it is still burning cash and paying substantial interest on its debt stack. Big Strategic Move: Selling the Lending Division The core strategic catalyst driving recent headlines was CMCT's decision to sell its lending division, which originates SBA 7(a) loans. On November 12, 2025, CMCT announced a definitive agreement to sell the lending business to PG FR Holding, LLC, an affiliate of Atlanta‑based Peachtree Group. [15] The key terms: Estimated purchase price: around $44 million , net of securitization debt tied to the loan receivables. [16] around , net of securitization debt tied to the loan receivables. Expected net cash proceeds to CMCT: about $31 million after paying off other debt and transaction costs, subject to adjustments and SBA consent. [17] about after paying off other debt and transaction costs, subject to adjustments and SBA consent. Strategic rationale: Refocus on 'premier multifamily' (apartments) and creative office assets Strengthen the balance sheet Improve liquidity and reduce leverage [18] Management changes: upon closing, long‑time CFO Barry Berlin will leave CMCT to join the buyer, and Brandon Hill will become the new CFO and Treasurer. [19] Trading‑oriented outlets framed the deal as a major re‑rating catalyst. A Timothy Sykes–branded analysis pointed to the lending sale as a way to free up cash, reduce balance‑sheet strain and reposition CMCT squarely as a higher‑end real‑estate play — even while acknowledging steep net losses, a high debt‑to‑equity ratio and negative margins. [20] That enthusiasm is about potential, not current profitability. The sale still depends on regulatory consent and closing conditions, and the path from 'more liquidity' to 'sustainable earnings' is not guaranteed. New LA Multifamily Asset: 1915 Park in Echo Park Complementing the exit from the lending business, CMCT is leaning harder into multifamily. On December 2, 2025, the company announced the completion of 1915 Park, a 36‑unit, six‑story apartment building in the Echo Park neighborhood of Los Angeles. [21] Highlights of the project: Built on what was previously a surface parking lot next to CMCT's office tower at 1910 W. Sunset Blvd. [22] next to CMCT's office tower at Includes a mix of studio, one‑bedroom and two‑bedroom units with modern finishes and a rooftop deck . [23] units with modern finishes and a . Located in a high‑walkability area of Echo Park, close to boutique retail, art studios, Echo Park Lake and Dodger Stadium, with access to major LA freeways. [24] For a company trying to pivot its portfolio, the Echo Park asset checks several strategic boxes: urban infill, lifestyle‑oriented, and in a coastal market where multifamily demand has historically been resilient. Whether that translates into strong net operating income and value creation depends on lease‑up pace, rental rates, and local LA housing dynamics — all still ahead of CMCT in 2026. Reverse Stock Splits, Credit Facility Repayment and Capital Structure CMCT's capital structure is… unusual. In April 2025, the company implemented a 1‑for‑25 reverse stock split of its common shares, consolidating every 25 shares into 1 share to get the price back above Nasdaq's minimum bid requirements. [25] A filing summary of the Q3 10‑Q notes not just that 1‑for‑25 reverse split, but also a 1‑for‑10 reverse split earlier in 2025, plus a transfer of the listing to the Nasdaq Capital Market. Together, those actions reshaped the share count and price without fixing the underlying economics. [26] On the liability side, 2025 has also seen some progress: CMCT has fully repaid its recourse credit facility , according to an April 9 update, reducing one source of lender pressure. [27] , according to an April 9 update, reducing one source of lender pressure. The company completed several refinancings across multiple assets, pushing out some maturities and smoothing debt schedules, a trend management underscored in its Q1 and Q2 2025 communications. [28] However, even after those steps, CMCT still carries more than $500 million in net debt and continues to generate negative FFO. [29] In other words: the capital‑structure surgery is ongoing, not finished. What Analysts and Rating Services Are Saying Coverage of CMCT remains thin, but the available opinions are notably cautious. Weiss Ratings: reiterated a 'sell (d‑)' rating in early December, according to American Market News. [30] reiterated a rating in early December, according to American Market News. MarketBeat consensus: MarketBeat's compilation indicates one analyst rating the stock 'Sell' , with no bullish recommendations on record. [31] MarketBeat's compilation indicates , with no bullish recommendations on record. Fintel price target: Fintel aggregates a one‑year average price target of about $4.08, with a very narrow range between roughly $4.04 and $4.20. That's only modestly above the price just before the December spike and below the intraday highs above $8. [32] For context, Fintel also reports: P/E (TTM): around –0.08 to –0.04 depending on source and timing around depending on source and timing Price‑to‑book: approximately 0.01 — equity trading at a steep discount to reported book value approximately — equity trading at a steep discount to reported book value Piotroski F‑Score:2/9, a very weak fundamental quality score often associated with distressed names [33] The combination — sharply negative earnings, ultra‑low price‑to‑book and a poor F‑Score — is exactly what you'd expect to see when the equity market is treating a company as a distressed or highly speculative situation. Algorithmic and Technical Forecasts: Strong Sell, But Volatile AI‑driven and technical‑analysis platforms have latched onto CMCT's wild chart. Intellectia.ai, which runs quantitative models over technical signals, moving averages, short‑selling data and pattern matching, offers a particularly stark view as of December 9, 2025: [34] Near‑term stance: Despite noting 3 buy signals and 2 sell signals in its indicator mix, Intellectia's overall conclusion is that CMCT is a 'Strong Sell' candidate, expecting weak performance in the coming days and weeks based on the trend structure. Despite noting in its indicator mix, Intellectia's overall conclusion is that CMCT is a candidate, expecting based on the trend structure. Trend summary: Short‑term momentum is positive, but The 20‑day moving average sits below the 60‑day , and The 60‑day sits below the 200‑day , signaling a bearish longer‑term trend even as the stock spikes. [35] Volatility snapshot: Intellectia notes that CMCT's price jumped over 70% on December 8 while intraday volatility exceeded 100% (low to high), with more than 12 million shares traded — extraordinary for a float under 1 million shares. [36] On a longer horizon, Intellectia projects a 2026 trading channel roughly between $5.9 and $10.6, with monthly 'potential ROI' figures oscillating between small negative and double‑digit positive expectations. [37] Crucially, the same service points out that: CMCT's price performance was –26% in 2023, –93.7% in 2024, and –87% in 2025 (before accounting for the most recent surge), which is about as far from 'steady compounder' as it gets. [38] Algorithmic forecasts are not destiny, but they align with the broader picture: this is a name that can move dramatically in both directions, with a long‑term record that has been overwhelmingly negative for buy‑and‑hold investors. Trader Commentary: Momentum Play, Not Defensive REIT Momentum‑focused news platforms have treated CMCT as a speculative trading vehicle rather than an income REIT. StocksToTrade News highlighted CMCT's roughly 17% intraday surge on December 3 , tying the move to the lending‑division sale, refinancing progress and the narrative of a 'rejuvenated' real‑estate platform. The coverage also stressed the importance of a disciplined trading routine given the stock's erratic swings. [39] highlighted CMCT's roughly , tying the move to the lending‑division sale, refinancing progress and the narrative of a 'rejuvenated' real‑estate platform. The coverage also stressed the importance of a disciplined trading routine given the stock's erratic swings. A separate Timothy Sykes–branded article framed CMCT's story as 'stock surges amid strategic sale,' emphasizing the roughly $31 million in expected net cash from the lending sale, the Echo Park apartment completion, and the potential for leverage reduction — but also flagging negative pretax margins and a highly stretched balance sheet. [40] Both pieces explicitly warn readers that they are providing stock news, not investment advice, and repeatedly stress that most active traders lose money, especially in volatile names like this. [41] For anyone looking at CMCT purely because it's 'moving,' those warnings are worth taking seriously. Key Risks for CMCT Stock From an investor's perspective, the main risks around CMCT as of December 9, 2025 include: Ongoing losses and negative FFO The company has not yet demonstrated sustainable profitability, and Q3 2025 still showed significant net and FFO losses despite revenue in the mid‑$20 million range. [42] High leverage and interest burden Net debt around $528 million on a tiny equity base leaves very little margin for error, especially with interest expense over $10 million per quarter. [43] Office exposure in a challenging market Office occupancy remains in the low‑to‑mid‑70% range, and sector‑wide pressure on office demand has not gone away. [44] Execution risk on the lending‑division sale The ~$31 million in expected net cash is contingent on closing and SBA consent. Delays or changes in terms could affect the balance‑sheet improvement story. [45] Microcap and short‑squeeze dynamics With fewer than a million shares outstanding, short interest north of 60% of the float and borrow rates above 400%, the stock is highly vulnerable to sharp squeezes and brutal reversals, disconnected from fundamentals. [46] History of massive dilution / reverse splits The back‑to‑back reverse splits in 2025 and long‑term price collapse show that prior equity holders have been heavily diluted and that management has had to resort to mechanical means to maintain a listing. [47] What to Watch Next Looking past the December fireworks, several milestones will shape CMCT's 2026 narrative: Closing of the lending‑division sale and the actual deployment of the ~$31 million in net proceeds. [48] and the actual deployment of the ~$31 million in net proceeds. Lease‑up and performance of 1915 Park in Echo Park, which will be an early test of the multifamily‑growth thesis. [49] in Echo Park, which will be an early test of the multifamily‑growth thesis. Further leasing progress in the office portfolio and any additional asset sales, refinancings or restructurings aimed at lowering leverage. [50] in the office portfolio and any additional asset sales, refinancings or restructurings aimed at lowering leverage. Q4 2025 earnings, currently expected around March 17, 2026, which should provide more detail on how the pivot is progressing. [51] Bottom Line: High‑Beta Turnaround Bet, Not a Sleepy Yield Play As of December 9, 2025, CMCT stock sits at the intersection of: A real company with substantial real‑estate assets, a newly completed LA apartment building, and a meaningful balance‑sheet transaction in progress; and with substantial real‑estate assets, a newly completed LA apartment building, and a meaningful balance‑sheet transaction in progress; A distressed, ultra‑volatile microcap with a history of heavy losses, high leverage, reverse splits, a consensus Sell rating and a short interest profile that practically invites speculative trading. That combination explains why CMCT has landed on Google News feeds and trader watchlists — and why nearly every serious analysis, from Fintel's fundamentals to Intellectia's technical models to Weiss Ratings' grade, leans clearly bearish despite the recent price spikes. [52] References 1. intellectia.ai, 2. fintel.io, 3. www.americanbankingnews.com, 4. fintel.io, 5. fintel.io, 6. www.businesswire.com, 7. www.stocktitan.net, 8. www.stocktitan.net, 9. shareholders.creativemediacommunity.com, 10. quartr.com, 11. www.stocktitan.net, 12. www.stocktitan.net, 13. finance.yahoo.com, 14. finance.yahoo.com, 15. www.businesswire.com, 16. www.businesswire.com, 17. www.businesswire.com, 18. www.businesswire.com, 19. www.businesswire.com, 20. www.timothysykes.com, 21. www.businesswire.com, 22. www.businesswire.com, 23. www.businesswire.com, 24. www.businesswire.com, 25. www.businesswire.com, 26. www.stocktitan.net, 27. www.marketbeat.com, 28. www.marketbeat.com, 29. www.stocktitan.net, 30. www.americanbankingnews.com, 31. www.americanbankingnews.com, 32. fintel.io, 33. fintel.io, 34. intellectia.ai, 35. intellectia.ai, 36. intellectia.ai, 37. intellectia.ai, 38. intellectia.ai, 39. stockstotrade.com, 40. www.timothysykes.com, 41. stockstotrade.com, 42. www.stocktitan.net, 43. www.stocktitan.net, 44. finance.yahoo.com, 45. www.businesswire.com, 46. fintel.io, 47. www.businesswire.com, 48. www.businesswire.com, 49. www.businesswire.com, 50. www.marketbeat.com, 51. quartr.com, 52. fintel.io
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